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Takenaka Tough On Loans
Finance Minister Says Japan Must Let Firms FailTOKYO, Oct. 3 -- The newly appointed overseer of Japan's troubled banks promised today that no companies would be spared from his efforts to rid the system of hundreds of billions of dollars in bad loans, and he acknowledged that large numbers of people will almost certainly lose their jobs as failed businesses are left to die.
"If we continue the current situation, the pain will grow dramatically," Heizo Takenaka, the new minister of financial services, said in an interview. "We have to reduce this kind of pain. We have to minimize unemployment. For this purpose, what will be the best way: To stay here or to go forward? The answer is already clear. I understand this is a very difficult way. This is a narrow path, but we have to do that."
A 51-year-old economics professor from outside the political ranks who once taught at Harvard, Takenaka on Monday became the latest figure to try his hand at fixing the vexing banking problem that has been at the center of Japan's long economic stagnation -- "the Lost Decade," as it is known here. In the interview, Takenaka lent weight to the perception that he will employ a take-your-medicine approach while not being deterred by the short-term unpleasantness of his policy prescriptions.
Takenaka laid primary responsibility for Japan's banking problem on an irresponsible management culture that allowed vast amounts of capital to be plowed into money-losing businesses while the regulators failed to account for the mounting toll of bad loans.
Now, he said, the only way out is to turn off the credit taps to those that are unable to pay back their loans, and endure a new wave of bankruptcies and consolidation. He acknowledged that allowing insolvent companies to fail could dampen Japan's economy further in the short term. "However," he insisted, "in the long run this should be done."
Takenaka's intentions were underscored this afternoon with his appointment of five economists and financial advisers to serve on a team that will craft the details of a policy he plans to unveil later this month. The team is headed by Yutaka Kozai, an economist who has called for restructuring companies that fail to pay back debts. It includes Takeshi Go Kimura, a consultant who has advocated liquidations.
In the interview, Takenaka pointedly rejected the notion that some companies are too big to be allowed to fail. That reason has been used for years by Japan's governing Liberal Democratic Party to justify continued loans to unprofitable and heavily indebted companies, particularly in the construction and retail industries.
"If the government takes the position 'too big to fail,' what will happen to corporate governance?" Takenaka said. "This will jeopardize the future of the Japanese economy."
Takenaka's stance has made him something of a hero among those who favor more aggressive means of trying to fix the banking problem. But some analysts say Takenaka's maverick credentials could seriously complicate his efforts to reform the banking system.
Japan's ministries are staffed by career bureaucrats who tend to wield the real power. They can make life miserable for their bosses, preventing much from getting done. Takenaka is distrusted by the bureaucracy as an abstract theorist too far removed from the gritty business of governing. Moreover, he is deeply opposed by an old guard within the ruling party that favors continued government spending to try to fuel the economy, rather than his course of cure-through-pain. The Liberal Democratic Party draws enormous financial support from the construction industry.
"He's very unpopular among politicians," said Naoko Nemeto, director of Financial Services Ratings at Standard & Poor's in Tokyo. "What he should do is let lots of banks and construction companies fail, but in the [ruling party] that will be hard. I'm skeptical about his leadership."
Takenaka said he hoped his outsider credentials would inoculate him from the usual political fray. "I do not have any vested interests," he said.
Takenaka's appointment was widely read by investors as a signal that Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi now intends to unleash a new wave of public money toward fixing the banks, while forcing some to shut down or submit to government control. Takenaka has endorsed such a course in the past while criticizing his predecessor, Hakuo Yanigasawa, for refusing to entertain that option.
But on the day he was appointed and again in the interview today, Takenaka was noncommittal, calling a public bailout "one possible result" as he and a team of experts investigate the banking system and craft an economic policy to be unveiled later this month.
Takenaka said his team would focus on three basic areas: improving the accuracy of assessments of the banks' health by the Financial Services Agency, which has been criticized for masking the extent of the problem; examining the banks anew to ensure that they have adequate funds reserved to cover their bad loans, while perhaps using public money to make up shortfalls; and bringing in a new management style to the banks.
Under Japanese law, Takenaka's ministry could not inject public funds into the banks without first declaring a crisis, something the government has been loath to do lest it spook investors. Asked today whether Japan's economy now faces a crisis, Takenaka said: "We have some problems in some parts of the economy, but we're not in a crisis. Our economic base is solid." He touted Japan's manufacturing competitiveness and its high savings rate -- the source of the funds the banks have for years been able to funnel into money-losing enterprises.
Takenaka said he plans to confer with officials at the Bank of Japan, the country's central bank, about plans they announced last month to buy stocks from the portfolios of banks whose balance sheets have been hurt by the plummeting stock market. Calling it "not a usual policy," Takenaka said he would wait to hear the details of how the bank plans to handle the stock purchases before saying whether it dovetails with his plans.
"I was a little bit surprised to hear this policy," Takenaka said. But he said he respected its clear message: that the central bank wants the government to take stern action to solve the banking mess.
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