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Wesley Clark
Is there a general in the house?
By Chris Suellentrop
Posted Wednesday, January 8, 2003, at 4:35 PM PT



Tired of running as John McCain, the Democratic candidates and pre-candidates for president have settled on a new archetype to emulate: Bill Clinton. John Edwards—the young, glib, pretty, Southern moderate—is the front-runner for the "Most Likely To Be Like Clinton" award, but there's a dark horse in the running, too: Wesley Clark. The former NATO commander, who led the 78-day bombing campaign in Kosovo, bears a superficial resemblance to the 42nd president. He's a former Rhodes scholar from Arkansas who has long been tabbed as one of his generation's brightest stars (in the military, not in politics). But the substantive parallel is the more important one. Just as Clinton restored the Democratic Party's reputation on economic policy, there's hope that Clark can lead the party out of its national-security wilderness.


Before he could do that, of course, Clark would actually have to run for president (and win the nomination, which is a long shot). But there's mounting evidence that he is going to do just that. During the fall election cycle, he met with New Hampshire Democrats and spoke to the centrist Democratic Leadership Council. In November, Time reported that Clark met with prominent Democrats in New York City to discuss his potential candidacy. Since then, he's been issuing carefully crafted non-denial denials about his White House ambitions, saying he has "no intention" to run, that he "hasn't raised any money," and that he doesn't "really have any plans." But according the Des Moines Register, he's enlisted a member of the Gore 2000 team as his top aide, he's sought advice from Donna Brazile (who's publicly urging him to run), and he's contacted top Iowa Democrats about a caucus campaign. He's now on the Associated Press's shortlist of possible candidates, and just this week he talked with Democratic National Committee chairman Terry McAuliffe about his prospects.

Despite all that, a Clark candidacy isn't necessarily going to happen. As a New Hampshire Democrat told PoliticsNH.com last year, "I'd say he is running, but I don't know if he is running in 2004 or 2008 or beyond. I first met Clinton in 1979." If it did happen, what would a Clark run look like? That's an open question. He's good-looking, but is he warm? Can he connect with a room? Can he raise money? He's a blank slate on Democratic litmus-test issues such as abortion, affirmative action, economic policy, and health care—without even getting into picayune but essential primary issues such as ethanol subsidies. He's on the record as opposing the trade embargo with Cuba, for example, but that's the sort of issue a presidential candidate can easily back off from if need be.

The centerpiece for the 58-year-old Clark's campaign would obviously be his biography, and it's an impressive one: first in his class at West Point, Rhodes scholar, wounded in Vietnam, recipient of both the Purple Heart and the Silver Star. In 1981, when Clark was a 36-year-old lieutenant colonel, the Washington Post magazine profiled him as "the ideal, the perfect modern officer." Since then, he continued his career as an Army "water walker," moving effortlessly up the ranks to four-star general. Just as Dr. Bill Frist gives the Republicans some moral authority on health care, a traditional GOP weakness, Gen. Clark could strengthen the Democrats' national-security hand.

One of the most compelling things about Clark is his ability to articulate—better than other Democrats, who sometimes resort to tiresome calls of "chickenhawk" or "quagmire"—the intellectual justification for what many Democrats feel in their gut: skepticism about the need for immediate war with Iraq; concern about the status of the war against al-Qaida; a preference for working with allies over going it alone; and a respect for the institutions that make up the international order that the United States built upon the ashes of World War II.

Clark is no dove. But he argues that the biggest mistake the Bush administration made in the aftermath of Sept. 11 was its refusal to conduct the war under the auspices of NATO, despite the alliance's declaration that an attack on the United States was an attack on all its member nations. As a result, Europe is not accountable for success in the war on terrorism, only the United States is. European leaders see it as George W. Bush's war, according to Clark, because Bush has made it his war. "Not a single European election hinges on the success of the war on terrorism," Clark wrote in the September Washington Monthly. Clark even went so far as to employ a classic Vietnam metaphor to describe Bush's policies: "Because the Bush administration has thus far refused to engage our allies through NATO, we are fighting the war on terrorism with one hand tied behind our back."

Clark calls this "the lesson of Kosovo": If you bring allies into a war, they will want to win it as badly as you do. That's counterintuitive: The lesson most Americans took from Kosovo was that war by committee was a disaster that allowed, for example, a British commander to refuse Clark's order to take an airfield. But, as David Halberstam showed in War in a Time of Peace, the fact that so many leaders had staked their reputations on the Kosovo war meant that they had to win it, despite strong opposition at home: "What [losing] would do to NATO—effectively signal the end of it—and to their countries (and it was known but never said, to their own careers and place in history) was also unacceptable."

This obsession with Kosovo and the lessons that the military could learn from it call to mind another characteristic Clark shares with Clinton: He's conducting a permanent campaign for his legacy. Practically the entire preface to the paperback edition of Clark's memoir Waging Modern War (which was panned in Slate by Christopher Caldwell and Debra Dickerson) advances the argument that the war in Afghanistan and the fight against al-Qaida more closely resemble Kosovo than they do the Gulf War. The first strikes against Afghanistan in October 2001 "seemed so familiar and predictable, it was as if we were refighting the Kosovo operation on different ground," Clark writes. (He concedes, "Maybe I was almost alone in this feeling ¡Ä")

Like Clinton, Clark was the brightest boy in the class who finally got his shot at the biggest job of all, but it didn't represent the historic opportunity he imagined. Clark didn't return from Kosovo a war hero—instead he was dumped as supreme allied commander by the Pentagon (which never really liked him and suspected him of being too close to Clinton). As a candidate, he wouldn't be Dwight Eisenhower or Ulysses S. Grant or Andrew Jackson or George Washington. He wouldn't even be Zachary Taylor. As that 1981 Post profile of the young Clark concluded, "As any military man will tell you, it takes a great war to produce a great general." Clark never got that war. Now's his chance.

http://slate.msn.com/id/2076528/

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New TV Ad Campaign Seeks To Draft Gen. Clark


By Brian Faler

Monday, August 18, 2003; Page A04


Retired Army Gen. Wesley Clark said yesterday that he had found an "enormous hunger for leadership" as he toured the country, contemplating whether he should run for the Democratic presidential nomination.

"Sometime in the next two or three weeks, I'll continue to move toward closure," he said on CNN's "Late Edition."

But his supporters are not waiting that long. Clark is starring in -- and is the target of -- a new television ad campaign slated to begin running today in three states.

The ads, sponsored by the group DraftWesleyClark.com, one of several groups trying to lure him into next year's race, will run in Iowa and New Hampshire, along with Clark's home state of Arkansas.

"It's almost like three-level chess on 'Star Trek,' " said John Hlinko, co-founder of the Washington-based group. "On the one hand, he definitely is the key target constituent. On the other hand, we also fully recognize that if he is going to enter . . . we want to continue building a base of supporters."

It is a gauzy, patriotic advertising spot, describing Clark's career in the military -- his service in Vietnam, his term as NATO commander, when he "ended Slobodan Milosevic's genocidal dictatorship."

"General Clark has spent his life serving our nation -- a nation which needs him now more than ever," the announcer concludes, amid images of Osama bin Laden and North Korean leader Kim Jong Il.

The ad will run for at least two weeks. Hlinko declined to estimate how much the group is spending on the campaign, but he called it a "real buy" that will air "hundreds of times."

Clark yesterday called the draft campaign "an authentic expression of political feeling." He added, "Regardless of whatever decision I come to, I applaud their effort. I think they've really caught fire and really have done something very, very important."

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http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A6994-2003Aug17?language=printer

http://www.draftclark2004.com/
http://www.draftclark2004.com/about.asp


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¥Ñ¥È¥ê¥Ã¥¯¡¦¥Ö¥­¥ã¥Ê¥óPatrick J. Buchanan¡¡¥Û¡¼¥à¥Ú¡¼¥¸¡¢The¡¡American¡¡Cause¡¡¤è¤ê¥¤¥é¥¯ÀïÁè¤Ë¤Ä¤¤¤Æ¤Î¥³¥é¥àµ­»ö¤òžºÜ¤·¤Þ¤¹¡£
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Imperial Wars, Then & Now
Patrick J. Buchanan August 13, 2003
Having found neither weapons of mass destruction nor a link to 9-11, the White House has retreated into its fallback position. It now defends Operation Iraqi Freedom as a necessary war to rid the Middle East of a brutal dictatorship and replace it with a democracy.
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That is, this was a war of democratic imperialism, as some of us said all along. The neocons exploited America's rage after 9-11 and steered the president into invading Iraq, in order to reshape its political system and redirect its foreign policy. Imperialism, pure and simple. Ahmed Chalabi was the puppet preselected to run the colony.
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Now, we are mired in a guerrilla war, with daily dead and wounded, costing $1 billion a week, with no exit strategy and no end in sight.
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Yet, it is not the first time a U.S. president, elected on an anti-interventionist platform, was steered into an imperial war, after absorbing a stunning, shocking blow to the nation.
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On Feb. 15, 1898, the battleship Maine blew up in Havana harbor, killing 268 sailors. This perceived Spanish atrocity, almost surely an accident, was seized upon by Sen. Henry Cabot Lodge and Assistant Secretary of the Navy Theodore Roosevelt to bully President McKinley into calling for a war with Spain for which they had long planned.
In "First Great Triumph: How Five Americans Made Their Country a World Power," ex-ambassador Warren Zimmerman tells the compelling story of how America first became an empire.
1898ǯ2·î¤Î¥¹¥Ú¥¤¥ó¤Ë¤è¤ëÊÆÀï´Ï¥á¥¤¥óÇú·â¤Ï¡¢¥Ø¥ó¥ê¡¼Ž¥¥í¥Ã¥¸Henry Cabot Lodge¾å±¡¤ÈÅö»þ³¤·³Êä½õĹ´±¤Î¥»¥ª¥É¥¢¡¦¥ë¡¼¥º¥Ù¥ë¥ÈTheodore Roosevelt¤Ë¤è¤Ã¤Æ¥¹¥Ú¥¤¥óÄë¹ñ¤Î»ÄµÔ¹Ô°Ù¤Ç¤¢¤ë¤È¤·¤ÆÍøÍѤµ¤ì¡¢¥Þ¥Ã¥­¥ó¥ê¡¼ÂçÅýÎÎ(William¡¡McKinley¡¤1843-1901)¤ò¥¹¥Ú¥¤¥ó¤È¤ÎÀïÁè¿ë¹Ô¤Ë¤Þ¤ÇÄɤ¤¤ä¤Ã¤¿¡£¥¦¥©¥ì¥ó¡¦¥¸¥Þ¡¼¥Þ¥ó¡Ê¡©¡ËWarren Zimmerman¤Ï¡¢¤½¤ÎÃøºî¡ÈFirst Great Triumph: How Five Americans Made Their Country a World Power¡É(¡¡http://www.amazon.co.jp/exec/obidos/ASIN/0374179395/ref=sr_aps_eb_/250-7235379-1352268¡¡)¤Ë¤Æ¡¢¥¢¥á¥ê¥«¤¬¡Ê¤³¤ÎÊÆÀ¾ÀïÁè¤ò¤­¤Ã¤«¤±¤È¤·¤Æ¡Ë¤É¤Î¤è¤¦¤ËÄë¹ñ¤Ø¤ÈÊÑÁ«¤·¤Æ¹Ô¤Ã¤¿¤Î¤«¤Ë¤Ä¤¤¤ÆÀâÆÀÎϤΤ¢¤ë²òÀâ¤ò¤·¤Æ¤¤¤ë¡£
Anticipating war, T.R., on the navy secretary's day off, wired Commodore Dewey, commander of the Pacific squadron, to prepare to attack the Spanish fleet. As soon as war was declared, Dewey sailed for Manila Bay, caught the Spanish ships in the harbor and sank or burned all seven, losing but a single man.
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The U.S. North Atlantic Squadron did the same to the Spanish fleet sent to protect Cuba. The Spanish warships were bottled up in Santiago harbor by U.S. battleships with superior firepower. In a heroic but doomed breakout on July 3, 1898, every Spanish ship was scuttled or sunk. Madrid surrendered.
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After our "splendid little war," a ferocious debate erupted. It was between T.R.-Lodge imperialists – who believed that for America to be secure in a world of empires, she must become an empire and annex the Philippines – and anti-imperialists, or "goo-goos," who wanted to give the Filipinos their independence.
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Arguments for and against annexation were both strategic and racist. Said industrialist Andrew Carnegie, "As long as we remain free from distant possessions, we are impregnable against serious attack."
Ê»¹ç¤ËÂФ¹¤ëµÄÏÀ¤Ï¡¢»¿ÈÝξÇɤȤâ¤ËÀïάŪ¤«¤Ä¿Í¼ïº¹Ê̼çµÁŪ¤Ç¤¢¤Ã¤¿¡£»º¶È»ñËܲȤΥ¢¥ó¥É¥ê¥å¡¼Ž¥¥«¡¼¥Í¥®¡¼Andrew Carnegie (1835-1919)¤Ï¡¢¡Ö¤ï¤ì¤ï¤ì¤¬¹­ÈϤ˵ڤÖ(¹ñ³°ÎÎÅÚ¤Î)ÎÎÍ­¤Ë¼ê¤ò½Ð¤µ¤Ê¤¤¸Â¤ê¡¢Ã×̿Ū¤Ê¹¶·â¤Ë¶¼¤«¤µ¤ì¤ë¤³¤È¤Ï¤Ê¤¤¤Î¤À¡×¤È½Ò¤Ù¤Æ¤¤¤ë¡£

Added progressive Carl Schurz, "Show me a single instance of the successful establishment and peaceable maintenance for a respectable period of republican institutions, based upon popular self-government, under a tropical sun."
¿ÊÊâÅÞ°÷¤Î¥«¡¼¥ëŽ¥¥·¥å¥ë¥ÄCarl Schurz(1829-1906¡¢¥É¥¤¥ÄÀ¸¤Þ¤ì¤ÎÊÆÀ¯¼£²È)¤Ï¡¢¡ÖÇ®ÂÓÃϰè¤ÎÂÀÍۤΤâ¤È¤Ç¡¢¿Í̱Âç½°¤Ë¤è¤ë¼«¼£À¯Éܤˤè¤ê¶¦ÏÂÀ¯À©ÅÙ¤¬¼óÈø¤è¤¯ÀßΩ¤µ¤ì¡¢ÁêÅö´ü´Ö¤ËÅϤêʿϤ˰ݻý¤µ¤ì¤¿¤Ê¤É¤È¤¤¤¦»öÎ㤬°ì¤Ä¤Ç¤â¤¢¤ë¤È¤¤¤¦¤Ê¤é¡¢»ä¤Ë¸«¤»¤Æ¤¯¤ì¡×¤È²Ã¤¨¤Æ¤¤¤ë¡£

McKinley had promised Schurz, "You may be sure there will be no jingo nonsense in my administration." But he was won over by the imperialists. He ordered the Army to occupy Manila and crush Filipino rebels, who were stunned to discover their liberators had decided to replace their former colonial masters.
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For three years, U.S. soldiers and Marines fought, with 4,000 dying in combat, several times as many as had been lost in Cuba. Filipino combat losses were 20,000 with 200,000 civilian dead, many of disease. Yet, a recent New York Times Almanac does not even list the Filipino insurrection as a major U.S. conflict.
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Was it worth it – annexing the Philippines?

In the war to secure the islands, atrocities were committed on both sides, and as a result of that war, we became ensnared in the great power politics of Asia, out of which came Pearl Harbor, World War II, Korea and Vietnam. By annexing the islands, writes Zimmermann, America "took on a security commitment in Asia that it found difficult to defend. In the Philippine case, the founders of American imperialism may have made a costly mistake."
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One year after the war to avenge the sinking of the Maine in Havana, we were in an imperial war 10,000 miles away. Now, two years after Sept. 11, we are fighting a guerrilla war in a nation 6,000 miles away, that had nothing to do with 9-11.
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President Bush was misled about what to expect when Baghdad fell. And those who misled him now reassure him that our occupation is going well and we are mopping up the resistance.
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Perhaps. But, like William McKinley, George Bush may prove to be a well-intentioned president who embroiled us in decades of wars in a part of the world that was never vital to America.¡¡
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"New Yorkers Again Rise to Occasion"
Joseph Dolman

Throughout the afternoon and into the sweltering evening, there was one word people seemed hesitant to speak. Terrorism.

They talked about other blackouts in other times. They talked about Con Edison. They talked about bus routes and where to find water and whether they might get into their apartments when they reached home. But no one wanted to ponder the worst possibility that yesterday could bring.

Indeed, in times of emergency, it's as if New Yorkers have some great inner gyroscope to help them keep their balance. Suddenly, they take pains not to panic. They take pains not to push. They take pains to be polite.

As I made my way home up a crowded Seventh Avenue last evening, an older white woman slipped and fell from the curb into the street. A middle-aged black guy with a cane was next to her in a heartbeat - extending a helping hand and offering her water. Scenes like this unfolded again and again as the city did what it could to adjust to the crisis.

I don't know about you, but it tells me something very reassuring. It tells me that underneath the fierce Darwinian scramble for survival in a place like Manhattan there is a bedrock human civility. We saw plenty of it beginning on the morning of Sept. 11, 2001. And we saw it again yesterday.

On a normal day, of course, a palpable hostility is thick in the air. As the evening rush begins, motorists honk and bully, and pedestrians respond as often as not with a hoisted middle digit. But yesterday New Yorkers went into survival mode. And they were generally sophisticated enough to understand that your well-being and my well-being are pretty much one and the same.

The streets were gridlocked, of course, but motorists seemed more concerned than frantic. The sidewalks were jam-packed - much more so than on 9/11 - but getting around on foot was almost comfortable.

At 33rd Street and Park Avenue, I looked into a darkened downtown IRT subway station. It was a sight I had never seen before. The token booth was shut down. The tunnels were eerily silent. And the only light in this dismal maw was a glow from four red and green MetroCard slot indicators - which for some reason still had electricity. Fascinated, I started down the stairs.

"Don't go down there!" shouted a woman who later identified herself as Kaya Gross of Brooklyn. "The trains aren't running!" As it turns out, she had seen a couple of guys emerge from the tunnel a few minutes earlier. She still seemed slightly unsettled by the experience.

The men had been trapped on a train, managed to get off and found their way through the darkness of the catacombs to the street. When they came out, their hands were covered with black subway grime. It occurred to me later that her warning to stay away was more than the Metropolitan Transportation Authority had thought to offer. The place was wide open with not an official in sight.

Which brings us to another point. While New Yorkers rose to the occasion yesterday, we'll have to wait and see how Mayor Michael Bloomberg's performance is judged. Like many New Yorkers, I didn't hear much from him yesterday because I wasn't around a television or radio. But I did duck into the actor's entrance of the Walter Kerr Theatre on West 48th when I heard the mayor's voice booming though a radio that one of the stagehands had. He sounded poised and in command. Like many other New Yorkers were yesterday.

http://www.newsday.com/news/columnists/ny-vpdol153414920aug15,0,4564545.column?coll=ny-news-columnists

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North Korea's Trojan Horse

By Masashi Nishihara
Thursday, August 14, 2003; Page A19

YOKOSUKA, Japan -- It is unfortunate that North Korea's proposal for a "nonaggression pact" with the United States appears to be gaining support among some prominent U.S. policymakers and other influential figures. Such a pact would in fact lead only to a withdrawal of U.S. troops from South Korea and perhaps even to Japan's justifying the development of its own nuclear weapons.

North Korea believes that its national security has been seriously threatened by a series of President Bush's remarks and acts, including his "axis of evil" speech in January 2002, which included North Korea as one of the evils, and his war against Saddam Hussein. North Korean leaders believe that President Bush is aiming for "regime change" in Pyongyang. Therefore, from the viewpoint of their leader, Kim Jong Il, North Korea needs nuclear weapons to dissuade Washington from attacking. As an alternative, Kim would accept a nonaggression pact with the United States to guarantee the security of his regime.

But by deliberately protracting negotiations concerning the format of multilateral talks, North Korea has actually been buying time to develop its nuclear weapons further. Indeed, Pyongyang's agreement to the multilateral talks involving the two Koreas, the United States, China, Japan and Russia does not offer much reason for optimism. Pyongyang can find all kinds of excuses for stalling the talks and continuing to work on its nuclear weapons.

The principal condition for the negotiations that North Korea will try to impose on the United States is the proposed nonaggression pact with Washington. In the past North Korea has demanded such an agreement in return for its renouncing its nuclear weapons program and permitting full inspections of its nuclear facilities.

But this is a dangerous offer that could eventually backfire on the United States. Washington should not sign a pact stating that it has no intention of launching a nuclear attack on North Korea.

A nonaggression pact would be extremely risky. First, how would the signatories ensure that the on-site inspections of suspected facilities were complete and that North Korea had in fact abandoned its nuclear arms programs?

Second, once a nonaggression pact was signed, Pyongyang might demand the withdrawal of American troops from South Korea. It would argue that an American presence on the Korean peninsula was no longer needed now that both sides had promised not to wage war against each other. Moreover, the South Korean public would be likely to support North Korea's demand.

Third, if the American troops left South Korea, Pyongyang would appeal to its South Korean "brothers" to call for a united Korea without a U.S. role. In addition, some Japanese, particularly those in Okinawa, would probably argue that American bases in Okinawa ought to be downgraded or closed.

Finally, and most important, a nonaggression pact between North Korea and the United States would conflict with the Japan-U.S. Security Treaty. A North Korea without nuclear weapons would still possess biological and chemical weapons and could use them to attack Japan. In such an event, the U.S. forces in Japan could not help defend Japan in accordance with their bilateral treaty, since the United States would already have promised not to attack North Korea. Facing that possibility, Tokyo could no longer rely on its alliance with Washington and thus might decide to develop its own retaliatory nuclear weapons.

Instead of a nonaggression pact, the United States, together with Japan and South Korea, should offer diplomatic recognition to Pyongyang. Bilateral and multilateral talks involving North Korea have already demonstrated the de facto recognition of that country by the three countries. If it were made official, the three countries could open embassies in Pyongyang, which would then be better able to observe the country and to continue communicating with the government.

In the meantime, the United States and Japan should target nonmilitary sanctions at the North Korean leaders to convince them that their tactics of buying time are not paying off. Such sanctions should include measures to detect and shelve the trade of technologies and weapons of mass destruction, as well as to retard the trade of illicit drugs and counterfeit currencies. This can be done through the close observation and possible interdiction of North Korean ships on the high seas.

Last month, using the excuse of stricter safety regulations, Japan succeeded in temporarily shutting down the visit to Japan of a North Korean ferry that allegedly was being used as a spy ship and for the illegal purchases of technologies. This was a good first step in the right direction.
The writer is president of Japan's National Defense Academy.

© 2003 The Washington Post Company

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A55858-2003Aug13.html

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No sign of improvement in perceptions of economy

by Frank Newport
GALLUP NEWS SERVICE

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Human shields face 12 years' jail for visiting Iraq

Suzanne Goldenberg in Washington
Wednesday August 13, 2003
The Guardian

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Korean Endgame
A Strategy for Reunification and U.S. Disengagement
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What is a neo-conservative anyway?
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By Jim Lobe
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WASHINGTON - With all the attention paid to neo-conservatives in the international media nowadays, one would think that there would be a standard definition of the term. Yet, despite their now being credited with a virtual takeover of US foreign policy under President George W Bush, a common understanding of the term remains elusive.

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In this context, it may be useful to offer some description of their basic tenets and origin, if for no other reason than to distinguish them from other parts of the ideological coalition behind the administration's neo-imperialist trajectory; namely, the traditional Republican machtpolitikers (might makes right), such as Vice President Dick Cheney and Pentagon chief Donald Rumsfeld, and the Christian Rightists, such as Attorney-General John Ashcroft, Gary Bauer and Pat Robertson.

As neo-con godfather, Irving Kristol once remarked, a neo-conservative is a "liberal who was mugged by reality". True to that description, neo-conservatives generally originated on the left side of the political spectrum and some times from the far left. Many neo-cons, such as Kristol himself, have Trotskyite roots that are still reflected in their polemical and organizational skills and ideological zeal.

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Although a number of prominent Catholics are neo-conservatives, the movement remains predominantly Jewish, and the monthly journal that really defined neo-conservatism over the past 35 years, Commentary, is published by the American Jewish Committee. At the same time, however, neo-conservative attitudes have reflected a minority position within the US Jewish community as most Jews remain distinctly liberal in their political and foreign policy views.

Neo-conservative foreign policy positions, which have their origin in opposition to the "new left" of the 1960s, fears over a return to US isolationism during the Vietnam War and the progressive international isolation of Israel in the wake of wars with its Arab neighbors in 1967 and 1973, have been tactically very flexible over the past 35 years, but their key principles have remained the same.
They begin with the basic foreign policy realism found in the pessimistic views of human nature and international diplomacy of the English political philosopher, Thomas Hobbes, that neo-cons share with most US practitioners: that "the condition of man [in a state of nature] ... is a condition of war of everyone against everyone." Or, as Machiavelli, another favorite thinker of the neo-cons, wrote, "Men are more ready for evil than for good."

But neo-cons take "man's" capacity for evil particularly seriously, and for understandable reasons. For neo-conservatives, the Nazi Holocaust that killed some 6 million Jews during World War II is the seminal experience of the 20th century. Not only was it a genocide unparalleled in its thoroughness, the Holocaust also wiped out family members of hundreds of thousands of Jewish citizens in the United States, including, for example, close relatives of the parents of Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz.

For neo-conservatives, as for most Jews, the Holocaust represents absolute evil, and the factors which contributed to the rise of Adolf Hitler in Germany and the subsequent extermination of Jews must be fought at all costs.

"The defining moment in our history was certainly the Holocaust," Richard Perle, a key neo-con and leading advocate of war with Iraq, recently told BBC's Panorama. "It was the destruction, the genocide of a whole people, and it was the failure to respond in a timely fashion to a threat that was clearly gathering. We don't want that to happen again, and when we have the ability to stop totalitarian regimes we should do so, because when we fail to do so, the results are catastrophic," he said.

For neo-conservatives, the 1938 Munich agreement, under which Hitler was permitted by Britain and France to take over Czechoslovakia, is the epitome of appeasement that led directly to the Holocaust. As a result, Munich and appeasement are constantly invoked in their rhetoric as a way to summon up the will to resist and defeat the enemy of the day. Hence, almost every conflict in which the United States has been engaged since the late 1960s - from Vietnam to Central America to Yugoslavia to the "war on terror" in Iraq and against al-Qaeda - has been portrayed as a new Munich in which the enemy represents a threat virtually on a par with Hitler.

The resulting worldview tends to Manichaeism - the notion that the world consists of a permanent struggle between the forces of good and evil, light and dark (an idea which incidentally accords very well both with the thinking of the Christian Right, not to mention of Bush himself). As Michael Ledeen, a close collaborator of Perle's at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) told the same BBC program, "I know the struggle against evil is going to go on forever."

Three major factors are seen as having contributed to the Holocaust: the failure of the liberal Weimar Republic in Germany to prevent the Nazis' rise; "appeasement"; and US isolationism that kept Washington from intervening in World War II earlier.

Although neo-cons profess devotion to liberal democracy, they have never hesitated to assail "liberalism", or what they sometimes call with their Christian Right allies "secular humanism", whose relativism, in their view, can lead to "a culture of appeasement", nihilism or worse. Thus, even while supposedly defending "liberal" and democratic ideals, their attitude is at best ambivalent.

Appeasement is prevented, in their view, by a powerful military capable of defeating any foe, the constant anticipation of new threats, and the willingness to preempt them. Thus, neo-cons have consistently favored big defense budgets, a stance shared by the right-wing machtpolitikers with whom they formed an alliance in the 1970s to end detente with Moscow. In their view, peace is to be distrusted, and peace processes are inherently suspect. "Peace doesn't come from a 'process'," wrote Wall Street Journal editorial writer Robert Pollock last year in a column that denounced the 1990s as a "decade of appeasement".

In this view, war is a natural state, and peace is a Utopian dream which induces softness, decadence and pacifism embodied by Bill Clinton whose "corruption of the national mission, combined with the myth that peace is normal, produces a solvent strong enough to dissolve the strength of our armed forces and the integrity of our political and military leaders", Ledeen wrote in 2000.

Similarly, enemies cannot be negotiated with. "Before the US can worry about rebuilding Iraq, it has to win militarily, and decisively so," the Journal wrote just before the war. "... Arab cultures despise weakness in an adversary above all," a refrain familiar to past neo-con descriptions of the Soviet Union, China, and other geo-political foes.

Finally, US engagement in world affairs is absolutely indispensable in preventing catastrophe, according to neo-con ideology which, in the words of another Perle intimate, Ken Adelman, sees "isolationism [as] the default option" in US foreign policy. Indeed, many neo-cons, fearing that the Cold War's end would revive isolationism, spent most of the 1990s hawking policies designed to maintain Washington's international engagement, even if that meant supporting Clinton when he deployed troops abroad.

Why? If evil is embodied by Hitler and similar threats, the United States comes as close to moral goodness as can be found in the world today, according to the neo-cons. "Since America's emergence as a world power roughly a century ago," Elliott Abrams, another prominent neo-con who currently serves as the top Middle East policymaker on Bush's National Security Council, wrote in a Commentary colloquium in 2000, "we have made many errors, but we have been the greatest force for good among the nations of the Earth. A diminution of American power or influence bodes ill for our country, our friends, and our principles''.

Thus, US intervention abroad, as in Iraq, is seen in the best possible light. Michael Kelly, a Washington Post columnist who died in an accident during the Iraq campaign, assured his readers last October that, "what President Bush aspires to now, is not exactly imperialism. It is something more like armed evangelism".

The moral goodness of the US is beyond question and justifies - indeed requires - a unilateralist policy lest, by subjecting its will to the wishes or agreements of other countries or international institutions, the US would actually prevent itself from fulfilling its moral mission.

This notion - that Washington would taint itself morally by working through multilateral institutions or tying itself to alliances with lesser countries - is certainly not unique to neo-conservatives. It has been around since George Washington warned the country in his Farewell Address against "entangling alliances" with European powers.

But the neo-conservatives have tried hard to reinforce this idea. Thus, in an attack on the UN Security Council this year, Perle argued, "This is a dangerously wrong idea that leads inexorably to handing great moral and even existential politico-military decisions, to the likes of Syria, Cameroon, Angola, Russia, China, and France." It echoes a refrain delivered by Post columnist Charles Krauthammer 15 years ago about the UN, "Let it sink," he wrote. "It is corrupting."

This sense of US moral superiority applies especially to what is now called "Old Europe", much as it was in US foreign policy until Washington's entry into World War II. Thus, Kelly, again writing about US imperial altruism: "Unlike the European powers, the United States has never sought to own the world. In its peculiarly American fashion, it has sought to make the world behave better, indeed be better."

Similarly, during much of 2002, countless neo-con columns and editorials in the Post, the Wall Street Journal and the neo-con The Weekly Standard (edited by Irving Kristol's son, William) cited a wave of attacks against Jewish targets across Europe, almost all of them carried out by Muslim immigrants or their children, as evidence of a resurgent anti-Semitism distinctly reminiscent of the 1920s and 1930s. "The whole of Europe is sick," wrote Paul Johnson, an English neo-con, in the Journal, while, in one of his milder remarks, Perle accused Europe of losing its "moral compass" over Iraq. Robert Kagan's much-celebrated depiction of Europeans being from Venus and Americans from Mars is an even milder version of the same basic worldview: compared to forthright, masculine Americans, Europeans are passive, decadent and unwilling to stand up for what is right.

Washington's moral superiority, however, combined with the possibly "catastrophic" results of failing to confront Munich-type threats, also justifies a range of extraordinary responses which, under other circumstances, might be morally questionable, according to the neo-con view. In particular, temporary alliances with other countries or movements whose own ideologies or practices may be morally reprehensible can be defended if they are used to fight a greater evil.

"In World War II, we were allied for three years and eight months with history's greatest murderer - Joseph Stalin - because we had a more immediate problem, Adolf Hitler," said former Central Intelligence Agency head James Woolsey, at an AEI briefing, in defending tactical flexibility. Similarly, neo-cons were unabashed about their support for "authoritarian" governments during the Cold War in the face of the greater "totalitarian" threat of Soviet communism, described by long-time Commentary editor Norman Podhoretz in 1976 as nothing less than "the most determined, ferocious and barbarous [enemy] ever to have appeared on the Earth".

The readiness to make tactical alliances has extended even to anti-Semitic governments and movements, such as the neo-Nazi military junta in Argentina. The regime was strongly defended by the elder Kristol, while neo-cons in the Ronald Reagan administration, such as Abrams and then-UN ambassador Jeane Kirkpatrick, worked to reverse the regime's diplomatic isolation and restore US and multilateral aid that had been cut off by previous president Jimmy Carter. The embrace was motivated primarily by the desire for Argentine cooperation in Central America, as was the neo-cons' strong support for then-Nicaraguan Archbishop Miguel Obando y Bravo despite his public stated beliefs that the Jews were punished for killing Jesus Christ.

If anti-Semitism can be tolerated under some circumstances, however, the security of Israel remains a fundamental tenet of neo-conservatives who traditionally supported whatever Israeli government was in power but, since 1993 and the Oslo peace accords, became much more closely identified with the views of the right-wing Likud Party, which opposed the agreement. The neo-conservative identification with Israel can be explained in part by its predominantly Jewish membership, but Christian neo-conservatives very much share the sense that a strategic alliance with Israel constitutes a moral imperative in the post-Holocaust era. As Catholic neo-con William Bennett wrote in a recent book, "America's fate and Israel's fate are one and the same."

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This commitment to Israel also explains the willingness of Jewish neo-cons to overlook the anti-Semitism of their Christian Right allies, whose own identification with Israel is based on a "Christian Zionist" reading of Biblical scripture that recognizes a God-given right of the Jews to what both religions consider the "Holy Land", at least until the Apocalypse and the Second Coming of Christ. Kristol and other leading neo-cons have long argued that other Jews should not be offended by this alliance. "Why would it be a problem for us?" he wrote some years ago. "It is their theology; but it is our Israel."

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Ripples From Perry's Ships Are Still Felt in Japan
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By NORIMITSU ONISHI
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YOKOSUKA, Japan — Walking behind a mock "black ship," the American playing the part of Commodore Matthew C. Perry held up an ominous-looking document and brandished it at paradegoers here on a recent Sunday. Dressed in a black period uniform, a sword at his hip, he glared from below his big hat.

"Perry-san!" a woman chirped from the crowd. "Why do you look so serious?"

The reception was hardly lighthearted when the real Commodore Perry arrived off this port city on Tokyo Bay on July 8, 1853, and forced Japan to open up to international trade and relations. The shock quickly led to the collapse of a regime that had ruled feudal Japan in isolation and peace for more than two centuries, and then to modern Japan's scramble to catch up with the West and grab an Asian empire.

As events this summer commemorating the 150th anniversary of Perry's arrival have made clear, he and his black ships still have a profound resonance. Even more than Gen. Douglas MacArthur, who led the American occupation of Japan after World War II, Perry is perhaps the most widely known foreign historic figure in Japan — which might come as a surprise in the United States.

"Perry? He was an explorer, wasn't he? That's all I know," said Leslie Fields, 41, a software engineer from San Diego, who works at the American naval base, about 12 miles south of Yokohama. "I have no idea what this parade is about."

Americans might also be surprised by the lack of emphasis here on the Pearl Harbor attack. Recent editorials here hardly mentioned it in a review of the major events of the last 150 years. One of the most widely used government-endorsed junior high school textbooks devotes three pages to Perry, but only three lines to Pearl Harbor.

If relations with the United States began for the Japanese with Perry, they began for Americans with Pearl Harbor, said Kenichi Matsumoto, a professor of the history of Japanese thought at Reitaku University in nearby Tokyo.
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"For the United States, Pearl Harbor was a traumatic experience, but the Japanese don't fully understand its significance," he said. "On the other hand, Americans don't want to dwell on Perry's visit to Japan because it doesn't fit well with America's version of history. This gap in perception is very large."
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Pearl Harbor does not dovetail with Japan's emphasis on its own suffering in World War II. That focus makes it easier to underplay its aggressions against the United States and other Asian nations.

In the United States, historians say, Perry has sunk into obscurity partly because he conjures up an imperial image that makes Americans uncomfortable. When Perry came here, America was in an expansionist mood, moved by Manifest Destiny to export Christianity, civilization and commerce. Historians agree, though, that President Millard Fillmore sent Perry to Japan largely because America needed oil — though back then it was the oil from whales found off the Japanese coast. It was also competing against Britain for trade in China and needed Japan as a base. Perry arrived here with four ships mounting more than 60 guns and nearly 1,000 men, carrying a list of demands from Fillmore.

The Japanese were overwhelmed by Perry's firepower. When he returned the next year, the Japanese yielded and signed a so-called treaty of amity and commerce. The treaty thrust Japan — which until then had banned travel abroad on punishment of death — onto the world stage.

To this day, the difference in perspectives on the beginning of American and Japanese relations colors each society's understanding of the other, historians say. The perceptions remain in what Shu Kishida, a professor at Wako University in Tokyo who specializes in applying psychoanalysis to history, calls "a people's subconscious memory."

To Americans, Japan is the sneaky country behind Pearl Harbor, an image that re-emerged during trade friction in the 1980's. To Japan, the United States is an insensitive brute.

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"Japan was saying, `No,' " Mr. Kishida said of Perry's demands, "but was forced to open up its ports, like a woman who was raped." That impression has lingered, he added.
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But most Japanese regard Perry's arrival as the basis of present friendly ties with the United States, said Hiroshi Sato, 45, who teaches history at Tsukuda Junior High School in Tokyo. In his class, he dedicates three to four hours to Perry's visit.

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"When I read once that Perry wasn't well known in the United States, I was a little surprised," he said.

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So were his students. "If Japanese students know about Perry, I figured that American students would know about him, too," said Miki Nishida, 14. "There were many events before Pearl Harbor."

Tatsuru Takimoto, 14, said: "The United States needed Japan to gain markets in Asia, so I think they came only for their own interests. But it's good they came." If they had not, he added, "Japan would have taken longer to modernize."

Two young Americans from New York who are stationed at the naval base here but had never heard of Perry — Kelvin Garcia, 18, from the South Bronx, and D. J. Williams, 19, from Hillside, Queens — were watching the parade here.

"I don't know who he is," Seaman Garcia said. "It's a nice parade, though. Pearl Harbor? That was the first time the United States was attacked. A whole fleet was destroyed, and that led to Hiroshima and Nagasaki."

Bands marched by, one playing the theme song to "The Flintstones." The actor playing Perry — Rolan E. Logan, an operations specialist first class at the base here — held the "Amity Document."

"Americans sometimes tend to come in thinking we're the best thing on earth," he said, "but we need to understand Japanese culture, or other foreign cultures, better."

Mr. Logan, who said he had known very little about Perry when he was assigned here 10 years ago, added, "I tend to think a country teaches history to give people a certain attitude."

http://www.nytimes.com/2003/08/11/international/asia/11JAPA.html?ex=1061615843&ei=1&en=e64c9b3e4d5420a4

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Bush Visits U.S.S. Truman For Dramatic Veterans'-Benefits-Cutting Ceremony


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"Whether sacrificing their lives or their health coverage, these brave Americans are willing to do whatever it takes to help this nation, and for this I salute them."

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"You have shown the world the skill and might of the American armed forces," Bush said. "You have exhibited a willingness to do what your country has asked of you. In return, I would like to personally show my gratitude by guaranteeing that your pension will not completely dry up until you turn 40."

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"Your brave and selfless service to your country will not soon be forgotten," Bush told the recently returned Operation Iraqi Freedom soldiers. "At least, not for another five or ten years."

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[6382] Re[6378]¡§President George W. Bush's plans to cut army benefits for many soldiers. Åê¹Æ¼Ô¡§±üÅľ¡Åµ¡Ê£±£²£·£¸¡Ë Åê¹ÆÆü¡§2003/08/12(Tue) 07:43:55

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Schuman's views are part of a growing unease back home at the rising casualty rate in Iraq, a concern coupled with deep anger at President George W. Bush's plans to cut army benefits for many soldiers.

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America is a religion
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US leaders now see themselves as priests of a divine mission to rid the world of its demons
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George Monbiot
Tuesday July 29, 2003
The Guardian

"The death of Uday and Qusay," the commander of the ground forces in Iraq told reporters on Wednesday, "is definitely going to be a turning point for the resistance." Well, it was a turning point, but unfortunately not of the kind he envisaged. On the day he made his announcement, Iraqi insurgents killed one US soldier and wounded six others. On the following day, they killed another three; over the weekend they assassinated five and injured seven. Yesterday they slaughtered one more and wounded three. This has been the worst week for US soldiers in Iraq since George Bush declared that the war there was over.

Few people believe that the resistance in that country is being coordinated by Saddam Hussein and his noxious family, or that it will come to an end when those people are killed. But the few appear to include the military and civilian command of the United States armed forces. For the hundredth time since the US invaded Iraq, the predictions made by those with access to intelligence have proved less reliable than the predictions made by those without. And, for the hundredth time, the inaccuracy of the official forecasts has been blamed on "intelligence failures".

The explanation is wearing a little thin. Are we really expected to believe that the members of the US security services are the only people who cannot see that many Iraqis wish to rid themselves of the US army as fervently as they wished to rid themselves of Saddam Hussein? What is lacking in the Pentagon and the White House is not intelligence (or not, at any rate, of the kind we are considering here), but receptivity. Theirs is not a failure of information, but a failure of ideology.

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To understand why this failure persists, we must first grasp a reality which has seldom been discussed in print. The United States is no longer just a nation. It is now a religion. Its soldiers have entered Iraq to liberate its people not only from their dictator, their oil and their sovereignty, but also from their darkness. As George Bush told his troops on the day he announced victory: "Wherever you go, you carry a message of hope - a message that is ancient and ever new. In the words of the prophet Isaiah, 'To the captives, "come out," and to those in darkness, "be free".'"

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So American soldiers are no longer merely terrestrial combatants; they have become missionaries. They are no longer simply killing enemies; they are casting out demons. The people who reconstructed the faces of Uday and Qusay Hussein carelessly forgot to restore the pair of little horns on each brow, but the understanding that these were opponents from a different realm was transmitted nonetheless. Like all those who send missionaries abroad, the high priests of America cannot conceive that the infidels might resist through their own free will; if they refuse to convert, it is the work of the devil, in his current guise as the former dictator of Iraq.

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As Clifford Longley shows in his fascinating book Chosen People, published last year, the founding fathers of the USA, though they sometimes professed otherwise, sensed that they were guided by a divine purpose. Thomas Jefferson argued that the Great Seal of the United States should depict the Israelites, "led by a cloud by day and a pillar of fire by night". George Washington claimed, in his inaugural address, that every step towards independence was "distinguished by some token of providential agency". Longley argues that the formation of the American identity was part of a process of "supersession". The Roman Catholic church claimed that it had supplanted the Jews as the elect, as the Jews had been repudiated by God. The English Protestants accused the Catholics of breaking faith, and claimed that they had become the beloved of God. The American revolutionaries believed that the English, in turn, had broken their covenant: the Americans had now become the chosen people, with a divine duty to deliver the world to God's dominion. Six weeks ago, as if to show that this belief persists, George Bush recalled a remark of Woodrow Wilson's. "America," he quoted, "has a spiritual energy in her which no other nation can contribute to the liberation of mankind."

Gradually this notion of election has been conflated with another, still more dangerous idea. It is not just that the Americans are God's chosen people; America itself is now perceived as a divine project. In his farewell presidential address, Ronald Reagan spoke of his country as a "shining city on a hill", a reference to the Sermon on the Mount. But what Jesus was describing was not a temporal Jerusalem, but the kingdom of heaven. Not only, in Reagan's account, was God's kingdom to be found in the United States of America, but the kingdom of hell could also now be located on earth: the "evil empire" of the Soviet Union, against which His holy warriors were pitched.

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Since the attacks on New York, this notion of America the divine has been extended and refined. In December 2001, Rudy Giuliani, the mayor of that city, delivered his last mayoral speech in St Paul's Chapel, close to the site of the shattered twin towers. "All that matters," he claimed, "is that you embrace America and understand its ideals and what it's all about. Abraham Lincoln used to say that the test of your Americanism was ... how much you believed in America. Because we're like a religion really. A secular religion." The chapel in which he spoke had been consecrated not just by God, but by the fact that George Washington had once prayed there. It was, he said, now "sacred ground to people who feel what America is all about". The United States of America no longer needs to call upon God; it is God, and those who go abroad to spread the light do so in the name of a celestial domain. The flag has become as sacred as the Bible; the name of the nation as holy as the name of God. The presidency is turning into a priesthood.

So those who question George Bush's foreign policy are no longer merely critics; they are blasphemers, or "anti-Americans". Those foreign states which seek to change this policy are wasting their time: you can negotiate with politicians; you cannot negotiate with priests. The US has a divine mission, as Bush suggested in January: "to defend ... the hopes of all mankind", and woe betide those who hope for something other than the American way of life.

The dangers of national divinity scarcely require explanation. Japan went to war in the 1930s convinced, like George Bush, that it possessed a heaven-sent mission to "liberate" Asia and extend the realm of its divine imperium. It would, the fascist theoretician Kita Ikki predicted: "light the darkness of the entire world". Those who seek to drag heaven down to earth are destined only to engineer a hell.
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• George Monbiot's books Poisoned Arrows and No Man's Land are republished this week by Green Books.
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http://www.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,3604,1007741,00.html

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Finally, it is unclear that there is sufficient interest from U.S. firms to install CDMA networks across Iraq's three regions. Nextel is one of the few companies to express interest publicly, while RCR Wireless News reported June 23 that wireless equipment companies such as Motorola, Qualcomm and Lucent Technologies all are taking a cautious approach to Iraqi opportunities. Also, U.S. firms are concerned that the two-year term of the contracts is too short to guarantee an adequate return on investment, especially considering initial operating costs, which will be heavy on security outlays.
The CPA has not ruled out having different network technologies in different regions, but it will be averse to sticking the future Iraqi government with incompatible technologies. Going with the GSM standard might be the best way to avoid the use of multiple technologies. In some respects, the CPA already has leaned toward GSM by stipulating that its temporary network was established under GSM, not CDMA, standards.

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Washington's Iraqi and regional strategies ¤Ï¡¢¤Ä¤Í¤Ë¡¢Êƹñ¥°¥í¡¼¥Ð¥ê¥¹¥È´ë¶È·²¤Î¤¿¤á¤Ë¤¢¤ê¤Þ¤¹¡£¤¢¤¢¡¢¤³¤¦¤ä¤Ã¤Æ¥°¥í¡¼¥Ð¥ê¥¹¥È¤¬
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Bid Restriction Could Affect Future Iraqi Projects
Aug 05, 2003

Summary

The Coalition Provisional Authority has barred any company in which a government owns more than a 5 percent stake from bidding on Iraq's lucrative mobile phone licenses. Although this gives Anglo-American firms an advantage, they still likely will seek to partner with state-owned Middle Eastern firms using GSM-based technology. The state-ownership exclusion likely will be recreated for tenders in other important sectors, including petroleum.
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Analysis

Representatives from about 300 companies attended a conference for the tender of Iraqi mobile phone licenses held July 31 by the U.S.-led Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA) in Amman, Jordan. In a move that angered many participants, the CPA announced rules barring any company with more than 5 percent government ownership from bidding on the three lucrative regional mobile phone licenses -- one each in northern, central and southern Iraq. The stated reason was to keep foreign governments from controlling Iraq's telecoms sector; the unstated reason might be to keep unwanted companies from leading Iraq's telecoms revival.

That state-ownership restriction, if strictly followed, would exclude most Middle Eastern and many European companies from participating in Iraq's mobile sector, which is expected to be one of the country's most lucrative industries outside of petroleum. European companies such as Orange (France), T-Mobile (Germany), Telefonica Moviles (Spain) and KPN (Netherlands) are leading global providers with the ability to service one or more of the licenses, but all would be barred under the rules. The same goes for Japan's NTT DoCoMo and state-owned firms from places such as China.

Knowledge of markets in the region leaves Middle Eastern companies such as Batelco (Bahrain), MTC-Vodafone (Kuwait) and Etisalat (United Arab Emirates) well positioned to bid on the Iraq tenders, but these companies have even greater percentages of state ownership, which would exclude them from bidding.

However, the companies might not be left completely in the cold. Linton Wells, a deputy assistant secretary of defense, said Aug. 1 there still would be room for partially state-owned companies to participate in Iraq's mobile network through consortia with other companies -- presumably with the lead company being a wholly, private-owned enterprise.

Allowing for minor partner participation of some state-owned companies is a pragmatic decision for the CPA, which apparently recognizes that some participation might be necessary to meet the administration's ambitious timeline of having the three regional mobile networks up and running by November. Partners with real market experience in the region will be valuable to lead companies, especially if they have proven track records of operating in Iraq's risky security environment.

Even more than European companies, Middle Eastern firms are well positioned to serve as minority partners. This is particularly true for Batelco, which in July set up a short-lived system in Baghdad without CPA approval and established an Iraqi subsidiary, Batelco Iraq. Less than a week after it went live, Batelco bowed to CPA threats that it would quash the unlicensed network and shut the system down itself -- a smart move if the company hopes to join a consortium for the long haul. Nevertheless, the experience in setting up the network in volatile Baghdad, as well as operating in the region, would make it a valuable partner to a Western firm in the central region. Another advantage for Baletco: British Cable & Wireless owns 20 percent of the company.

Another company that is well positioned for a minority stake -- particularly for the southern region -- is Kuwait's MTC-Vodafone, which already provides limited cellular services to British forces around Basra. Having a relationship with British telecom giant Vodafone won't hurt, either. Other potential regional partners include Kuwait's National Mobile Telecommunications Co. (Wataniya Telecom) and Cairo-based Orascom Telecom, a regional telecom heavyweight.

Clearly, the state-ownership limitation gives yet another edge to private U.S. firms such as Nextel, as well as British companies such as Vodaphone. Anglo-American firms likely will be the lead partners in the three regional networks, and they might look to forge partnerships with state-owned companies from other Middle Eastern countries.

However, one U.S. firm, MCI, almost definitely is out of the running. The company was awarded a $45 million contract in May to set up a temporary mobile network to serve international and Iraqi officials; it now might be excluded following a July 31 ruling by the U.S. government that suspended MCI from competing for federal contracts. The ruling resulted from ongoing investigations into whether the bankrupt company lacks necessary internal controls and ethics. Although this does not explicitly restrict MCI from Iraqi contracts, the CPA would have a very difficult time justifying the selection of MCI and could run afoul of government watchdogs back in the states.

GSM or CDMA?

Another key issue in the bidding process will be whether to build Iraq's mobile phone network with the CDMA standards used in the United States or the GSM standards used throughout Europe, the Middle East -- save Israel -- and most of the rest of the world. U.S. companies and their congressional supporters have been lobbying the White House and Pentagon to opt for a CDMA system in Iraq, but the current tender is technology-neutral.

Despite the corporate advantage of having a CDMA-based system in Iraq, other considerations actually make a GSM model more likely. First of all, the U.S. Defense Department is said to prefer keeping the entire Middle East on the same GSM system, rather than making Iraq a technological outlier in the region, RCR Wireless News reported in June. Defense officials hold sway over the CPA and most big decisions in Iraq, and security and defense issues definitely have priority over economic considerations in the Pentagon.

Second, the parts of Iraq that do have cell phone service -- including parts of Kurdish northern Iraq, MCI's Baghdad service and MTC-Vodafone's services in Basra -- already are operating on GSM and could serve as the building blocks for the three regional networks.

Finally, it is unclear that there is sufficient interest from U.S. firms to install CDMA networks across Iraq's three regions. Nextel is one of the few companies to express interest publicly, while RCR Wireless News reported June 23 that wireless equipment companies such as Motorola, Qualcomm and Lucent Technologies all are taking a cautious approach to Iraqi opportunities. Also, U.S. firms are concerned that the two-year term of the contracts is too short to guarantee an adequate return on investment, especially considering initial operating costs, which will be heavy on security outlays.
The CPA has not ruled out having different network technologies in different regions, but it will be averse to sticking the future Iraqi government with incompatible technologies. Going with the GSM standard might be the best way to avoid the use of multiple technologies. In some respects, the CPA already has leaned toward GSM by stipulating that its temporary network was established under GSM, not CDMA, standards.

A Vision of Tenders to Come

The mobile license tender might be a preview of bidding rules for contracts in other key industries. The CPA's rationale was philosophical: Wells said Aug. 1, "We feel that having a significant share of Iraq's telecommunication system owned by a company with major foreign government ownership is not necessarily in the best interest of the Iraqi people." That rules out any sole-source bid by a largely state-owned company, he said.

Washington might adopt the same strategy of excluding partially state-owned companies from bidding on projects in other sectors, including construction, utilities and -- most significantly -- petroleum. This would have the same effect of excluding many companies from the Middle East, Europe and Asia, including China.

The stated rationale for keeping Iraqi interests out of other government hands -- through state ownership -- will be particularly strong for the petroleum sector, where ownership and extraction of petroleum reserves traditionally is tied with issues of national sovereignty, as a quick look at Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Venezuela and Mexico will attest. The U.S. administration of Iraq -- and Iraq's inability to rebuild its oil sector without help -- has ensured there will be vast foreign participation. However, the CPA easily could apply the same rationale of protecting Iraq's strategic economic interests to exclude partially state-owned firms from bidding to explore and develop Iraq's vast oil reserves.

Such exclusions would be advantageous for the coalition and Iraq's Oil Ministry, providing a powerful rationale for reviewing and negating so many of the prewar contracts signed by Saddam Hussein's government. Companies such as France's TotalFinaElf, China National Petroleum Co., Turkey's TPAO, Malaysia's Petronas, Algeria's Sonatrach, India's ONGC, Indonesia's Pertamina, Syria Petroleum, Petrovietnam, Russia's Zarubezhneft and Tunisia's ETAP not only could find themselves holding useless contracts, but also unable to bid on future Iraqi oil development contracts.

Washington might show similar flexibility in the oil sector as it is doing in mobile telecoms, but for different reasons. It might look to funnel some contacts to companies from countries that the United States still needs as allies in the region and would not want to loose, such as India and Russia. Excluding them completely might unnecessarily spoil relations. The alternative -- downgrading and lessening their participation in Iraq as minority partners in a consortium -- could be a nice middle-ground option that dovetails nicely Washington's Iraqi and regional strategies.

http://www.stratfor.biz/Story.neo?storyId=220787
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'Bring us home': GIs flood US with war-weary emails

An unprecedented internet campaign waged on the frontline and in the US is exposing the real risks for troops in Iraq. Paul Harris and Jonathan Franklin report on rising fears that the conflict is now a desert Vietnam

Sunday August 10, 2003
The Observer

Susan Schuman is angry. Her GI son is serving in the Iraqi town of Samarra, at the heart of the 'Sunni triangle', where American troops are killed with grim regularity.
Breaking the traditional silence of military families during time of war, Schuman knows what she wants - and who she blames for the danger to her son, Justin. 'I want them to bring our troops home. I am appalled at Bush's policies. He has got us into a terrible mess,' she said.

Schuman may just be the tip of an iceberg. She lives in Shelburne Falls, a small town in Massachusetts, and says all her neighbours support her view. 'I don't know anyone around here who disagrees with me,' she said.

Schuman's views are part of a growing unease back home at the rising casualty rate in Iraq, a concern coupled with deep anger at President George W. Bush's plans to cut army benefits for many soldiers. Criticism is also coming directly from soldiers risking their lives under the guns of Saddam Hussein's fighters, and they are using a weapon not available to troops in previous wars: the internet.

Through emails and chatrooms a picture is emerging of day-to-day gripes, coupled with ferocious criticism of the way the war has been handled. They paint a vivid picture of US army life that is a world away from the sanitised official version.

In a message posted on a website last week, one soldier was brutally frank. 'Somewhere down the line, we became an occupation force in [Iraqi] eyes. We don't feel like heroes any more,' said Private Isaac Kindblade of the 671st Engineer Company.

Kindblade said morale was poor, and he attacked the leadership back home. 'The rules of engagement are crippling. We are outnumbered. We are exhausted. We are in over our heads. The President says, "Bring 'em on." The generals say we don't need more troops. Well, they're not over here,' he wrote.

One of the main outlets for the soldiers' complaints has been a website run by outspoken former soldier David Hackworth, who was the army's youngest colonel in the Vietnam war and one of its most decorated warriors. He receives almost 500 emails a day, many of them from soldiers serving in Iraq. They have sounded off about everything from bad treatment at the hands of their officers to fears that their equipment is faulty.

The army-issue gas mask 'leaks under the chin. This same mask was used during Desert Storm, which accounts for part of the health problems of the vets who fought there. My unit has again deployed to the Gulf with this loser,' ranted one army doctor.

Some veterans have begun to form organisations to campaign to bring the soldiers home and highlight their difficult conditions. Erik Gustafson, a veteran of the 1991 Gulf war, has founded Veterans For Common Sense. 'There is an anger boiling under the surface now, and I, as a veteran, have a duty to speak because I am no longer subject to military discipline,' he said.

A recent email from Iraq passed to Gustafson, signed by 'the Soldiers of the 2nd Brigade of the 3rd Infantry Division', said simply: 'Our men and women deserve to see their loved ones again and deserve to come home. Thank you for your attention.'

Another source of anger is government plans to reverse recent increases in 'imminent danger' pay and a family separation allowance. These moves have provoked several furious editorials in the Army Times, the normally conservative military newspaper. The paper said the planned cuts made 'the Bush administration seem mean-spirited and hypocritical'.

Tobias Naegele, its editor-in-chief, said his senior staff agonised over the decision to attack the government, but the response to the editorials from ordinary soldiers was overwhelmingly positive.

A further critical editorial is planned for this week. 'We don't think lightly of criticising our Commander-in-Chief,' Naegele said 'The army has had a rough couple of years with this administration.'

Mainstream veterans' groups too are angry about cuts being proposed at a time when politicians have heaped praise on the army's performance in Afghanistan and Iraq and want to launch a recruitment drive.

Veterans plan protests to highlight the issue. 'We are going to show them that veterans are people who know how to vote,' said Steven Robinson, a veteran and executive director of the National Gulf War Resource Centre, one of the websites where veterans' issues are raised.

Susan Schuman too is planning a protest. This week she plans to join members of a new group, Military Families Speak Out, who will travel to Washington to make their case for their sons, daughters, husbands and wives, to be brought home from Iraq.

With soldiers dying there almost daily, comparisons have already been drawn with the Vietnam war and the birth of the protest movements there that divided America in the Sixties and Seventies.

Political scientists, however, think the war will have to get much worse before anything similar happens over Iraq. 'To put it crudely, I think the country can accept this current level of casualties,' said Professor Richard Stoll, of Rice University in Houston, Texas.

That is little comfort to Schuman, who says she just wants to see her son, Justin, return alive from a war she believes is unjust. 'It is a quagmire and it is not going to be easy to get out,' she said. 'That's where the parallel with Vietnam is.'

http://www.guardian.co.uk/Iraq/Story/0,2763,1015711,00.html

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'Terminator 4: The Rise of Colin Powell'
By ANDY BOROWITZ

http://www.nytimes.com/2003/08/10/opinion/10BORO.html?ex=1061092800&en=5b0473ebaaa6e027&ei=5062&partner=GOOGLE


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Tuesday, Aug. 5, 2003. Page 13

Imperial Rules Compared
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By Boris Kagarlitsky

It has become a commonplace of late to speak of the "American empire." The United States has occupied the same place in the contemporary world that the British empire occupied during the reign of Queen Victoria. The United States enjoys not just economic and military superiority, but like the former British empire it exercises political control over a growing number of countries.

Ironically, America's imperial incursion into Asia has begun in those very countries where British expansionism broke down: Afghanistan and Iraq. The British fought a number of wars in Afghanistan, suffering but a single serious military defeat. True, that defeat was devastating. During the war of 1839-42, the British garrison was obliterated by local tribes after abandoning Kabul and setting out for the safety of India. Only one British soldier reached his destination. British military superiority did not produce the desired results. Her Majesty's forces easily occupied major cities and routed the native armies only to discover that they controlled nothing but the ground they were standing on.

In India, the British had installed a system of "indirect rule," whereby most of the work of governing was handled by the local bureaucracy, police force and military. This system did not work in Afghanistan. Agreements reached with the British were immediately broken and local leaders continually switched sides. Promises were not kept. There was no one to trust and no one to rely on. Not only did local leaders have no desire to serve their conquerors, they couldn't even agree on anything amongst themselves. Having spent more than half a century in Afghanistan, Britain settled for the nominal recognition of its dominion. In 1919, the British left the country for good.

Iraq, which came under British control after World War I, also proved a tough nut to crack. Rebellions were forever breaking out, and local authorities used the powers they had been given against their imperial patrons. The country was declared independent in 1932, though it was occupied again in 1941 in order to prevent it from falling under the influence of Nazi Germany.

In Afghanistan and Iraq today, the Americans have run into exactly the same problems. They have no reliable allies, and they have been unable to convert military presence into effective political control. But the United States has another problem that Britain didn't face: its reluctance to admit it is an empire.

When the British colonized countries in Asia and Africa, they at least assumed formal obligations toward the local population. The legal status of the colonial administration and its powers were clearly defined. You can't say anything definite about the U.S. presence in Iraq and Afghanistan. How long will it last? What is the legal basis for it? How are responsibilities divided between the occupying powers and the local authorities? The Bush administration can't even bring itself to utter the word "occupation," much less openly declare that it has conquered these countries. The status of an occupied territory is more or less regulated by international law, but the United States won't admit that it is an occupying power.

The ideology, culture and institutions of the American republic do not jibe with its new imperial role in the world. America must conceal its ambitions, not so much from the world community which understands very well what's going on, but from its own people who were raised on very different traditions. The "free Briton" of the imperial era understood and supported the country's colonial policy. Even the socialists at the time were prepared to adopt imperial slogans -- with certain reservations, of course. The average American, by contrast, is never more supportive of their country's foreign policy than when they have only the vaguest idea what it actually entails. And since the existence of a U.S. empire is denied, public discussion of the problems of empire is impossible. In this, the United States closely resembles the Soviet Union, which passed off its occupation of Afghanistan as "fraternal assistance."

Hypocrisy is a shaky foundation for foreign policy, particularly in a country that considers itself a democracy. When the British empire was putting down uprisings in India, it could still boast of upholding democracy for "its own." The situation in America is fundamentally different. U.S. imperial policy will either lead to the erosion of the country's democratic institutions, or American democracy will rise up and bring an end to the grand imperial design.

Boris Kagarlitsky is director of the Institute of Globalization Studies.
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A Look at U.S. Daily Casualties in Iraq

Friday August 8, 2003 4:39 AM

By The Associated Press

As of Thursday, Aug. 7, 256 U.S. soldiers have died since the beginning of military operations in Iraq, according to the military.

The British government has reported 43 deaths.

On or since May 1, when President Bush declared that major combat operations in Iraq had ended, 118 U.S. soldiers have died in Iraq, according to the latest military figures.

The latest deaths reported by U.S. Central Command:

- A 101st Airborne Division (Air Assault) soldier died Wednesday after developing a seizure while performing duties in Mosul, Iraq.

- Two 1st Armored Division soldiers were killed Wednesday evening in a small arms firefight in Baghdad. One soldier died at the scene; the other died later from wounds received.

The latest identifications from the military:

- Army Staff Sgt. Brian R. Hellerman, 35, Freeport, Minn.; killed Wednesday when an Iraqi vehicle opened fire on his unit in Baghdad; assigned to C Company, 2nd Battalion, 325th Parachute Infantry Regiment, 82nd Airborne Division, Fort Bragg, N.C.

- Army Staff Sgt. David L. Loyd, 44, Jackson, Tenn.; died Tuesday in Kuwait after experiencing severe chest pains when on a mission; assigned to the 1175th Transportation Company, Army National Guard, Brownsville, Tenn.

- Army Spc. Farao K. Letufuga, 20, Pago Pago, American Samoa; killed Tuesday when he fell from a roof while performing guard duty in Mosul, Iraq.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/worldlatest/story/0,1280,-3002414,00.html

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The unreported cost of war: at least 827 American wounded

Julian Borger, Washington
Monday August 4, 2003
The Guardian

US military casualties from the occupation of Iraq have been more than twice the number most Americans have been led to believe because of an extraordinarily high number of accidents, suicides and other non-combat deaths in the ranks that have gone largely unreported in the media.
Since May 1, when President George Bush declared the end of major combat operations, 52 American soldiers have been killed by hostile fire, according to Pentagon figures quoted in almost all the war coverage. But the total number of US deaths from all causes is much higher: 112.

The other unreported cost of the war for the US is the number of American wounded, 827 since Operation Iraqi Freedom began.

Unofficial figures are in the thousands. About half have been injured since the president's triumphant appearance on board the aircraft carrier USS Lincoln at the beginning of May. Many of the wounded have lost limbs.

The figures are politically sensitive. The number of American combat deaths since the start of the war is 166 - 19 more than the death toll in the first Gulf war.

The passing of that benchmark last month erased the perception, popular at the time Baghdad fell, that the US had scored an easy victory.

According to a Gallup poll, 63% of Americans still think Iraq was worth going to war over, but a quarter want the troops out now, and another third want a withdrawal if the casualty figures continue to mount.

In fact, the total death toll this time is 248 - including accidents and suicides - and as the number of non-combat deaths and serious injuries becomes more widely known, the erosion of public confidence is likely to continue, posing a threat to Mr Bush's prospects of re-election, which at the beginning of May had seemed a foregone conclusion.

Military observers say it is unusual, even in a "low-intensity" guerrilla war such as the situation seen in Iraq, for non-combat deaths to outnumber combat casualties.

The Pentagon does not tabulate the cause of those deaths, but according to an American website that has been tracking official reports, Iraq Coalition Casualty Count, 23 American soldiers have died in car or helicopter accidents since May 1, while 12 have been killed in accidents with weapons or explosives.

Three deaths have been categorised as "possible suicides", three have died from illness, and three from drowning. The rest are unexplained.

Wounded American soldiers continue to be flown back to the US at a relentless rate, in twice-weekly transport flights to Andrews air force base near Washington.

Hospital staff are working 70- or 80-hour weeks, and the Walter Reed army hospital in Washington is so full that it has taken over beds normally reserved for cancer patients to handle the influx, according to a report on CBS television.

Meanwhile, at the nearby national naval medical centre in Bethesda, new marine injuries are delivered almost daily by a medical plane known as the Nightingale.

The Pentagon figure for "wounded in action" in Iraq is 827, but here again the total number of injuries appears to be much higher.

The estimate given by central command in Qatar is 926, but according to Lieutenant-Colonel Allen DeLane, who is in charge of the airlift of the wounded into Andrews air base, that too is understated.

"Since the war has started, I can't give you an exact number because that's classified information, but I can say to you over 4,000 have stayed here at Andrews, and that number doubles when you count the people that come here to Andrews and then we send them to other places like Walter Reed and Bethesda, which are in this area also," Col DeLane told National Public Radio.

He said 90% of injuries were directly war-related.

Some of that number may involve double-counting - if a soldier stays at the Andrews clinic on the way to Washington and then again on the way back to the war or back home, for example. But the actual number of wounded still appears to be much higher than the official figures.

"When the facility where I'm at started absorbing the people coming back from theatre [in April], those numbers went up significantly - I'd say over 1,200," Col DeLane said.

"That number even went up higher in the month of May, to about 1,500, and continues to increase."

http://www.guardian.co.uk/usa/story/0,12271,1011692,00.html

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Are You a Neocon?

by Daniel McCarthy

Regular readers of LRC or other right-of-center sites are sure to have seen terms like "neoconservative" and "paleo-libertarian" from time to time. A quick Google search can explain what the words mean, but definitions don¡Çt really answer the more interesting and important question – which one are you?

Naturally you might be neither "paleo" nor "neo." But for those who¡Çd like to find out I devised a quick quiz during a spell of procrastination a few months back. Here it is. After answering twenty questions it¡Çll give you my impression of which of ten modern American ideologies is the best fit for you, along with links to sites representing the philosophy of each.

There¡Çs no shortage of political quizzes on the ¡Ænet, but how many others includes "paleoconservative" and "third way" as categories? Not many (or any) that I¡Çve seen. And to be thoroughly immodest, this quiz is less slanted than most too. I¡Çm a pale-something myself though, so if you find bias that¡Çs where I¡Çm coming from. Other than that the major flaw is that I don¡Çt know modern left-wing ideologies at all well, so the categories of "radical," "liberal" and "third-way" probably are not how leftists would classify themselves.

The quiz questions are mostly about public policy. An alternative method would have been to ask general philosophical questions, or even to ask for interpretations of historical events. I chose the policy-oriented approach because it seemed most straightforward and clear.
Here, in brief, are the ideologies that the quiz examines. You¡Çll probably want to take the quiz first though. The sketches below aren¡Çt an answer key, but you can probably deduce from the definitions how someone of a given ideology would answer a particular question. That¡Çs the entire principle of the quiz, after all.

Centrist ÃæÆ» – Just what it sounds like. Someone who doesn¡Çt have any particularly strong ideological leanings in any direction.

Conservative ÊÝ¼é – Specifically a "fusionist" conservative of the National Review - Heritage Foundation mold. Someone who believes in traditional morality and capitalism, and the need for a limited government to allow both to flourish.

Left-libertarian ¥ê¥Ð¡¼¥¿¥ê¥¢¥óº¸ÇÉ – The quiz uses a mild definition of a left-libertarian, an anti-statist who is somewhat fearful of corporate and religious influence on public life.

Liberal ¥ê¥Ù¥é¥ë – Supports economic regulation to promote social justice and takes a progressive stance toward moral or cultural issues.

Libertarian ¥ê¥Ð¡¼¥¿¥ê¥¢¥ó – A libertarian opposes most or all government activites. Does not favor much or any government support for either moral or economic systems.

Neoconservative ¿·Êݼé(¥Í¥ª¥³¥ó) – A "neocon" is more inclined than other conservatives toward vigorous government in the service of the goals of traditional morality and pro-business policies. Tends to favor a very strong foreign policy of America as well.

Paleoconservative ¸ÅÊÝ¼é – "Paleocons" want less US involvement in foeign affairs than other conservatives and oppose mass immigration. They are also more favorably disposed toward the South and the idea of secession, or at least decentralization, than neoconservatives.

Paleo-libertarian ¸Å¥ê¥Ð¡¼¥¿¥ê¥¢¥ó – Similar to other libertarians except for oppostion to mass immigration, and shares the paleocon appreciation of the South.

Radical ¥é¥Ç¥£¥«¥ë(º¸Íã) – Critical of bouregois morality and strongly opposed to capitalism and willing to use state power to achieve desired ends.

Third-way Âè»°¤ÎÆ» – More supportive of foreign intervention than liberals and less supportive of economic regulation, coupled with more-or-less progressive social views. "Third-way" is to liberal what neoconservative is to conservative.

June 26, 2001
Daniel McCarthy [send him mail] is a graduate student in classics at Washington University in St. Louis.

Copyright © 2001 LewRockwell.com

http://www.lewrockwell.com/dmccarthy/dmccarthy14.html

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